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What If 2024 Was Just The COVID Repudiation Election Cycle?

One theory does emerge.

Ted Bauer
3 min readNov 8, 2024

If you are chronically online, you may have seen this chart. It essentially indicates that, in most industrialized nations, the incumbent party had losses in 2024. This leads to the theory that maybe 2024 is a reflection of “the long tail” of COVID malaise. It is also covered in this video, albeit from a liberal perspective:

This theory makes some sense, absolutely. COVID was a massive global event, and you had lots of factions emerge from it. Some people were terrified; some people didn’t believe it. In the United States, we had the unfortunate reality of COVID happening in a Presidential year, and Trump needed to stoke his base because he was already seen as chaotic, so suddenly you have guys in Arizona drinking koi pond water because he mentioned it in one press conference. Meanwhile, red counties shut down for four to six weeks, and blue counties seemingly shut down for four to six years, and we still don’t really know the impact on public education via “Zoom School,” but so far it doesn’t seem so good.

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Ted Bauer
Ted Bauer

Written by Ted Bauer

I write about a lot of different topics, from work to masculinity to relationships and social dynamics, I.e. modern friendship. Pleasure to be here.

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